The big news in the 4th Congressional District race Friday was that Mia Love overtook Ben McAdams and now holds a 419-vote lead.
That wasn’t really unexpected, and doesn’t change this fact: The race is coming down to some 34,000 provisional ballots left to be counted in Salt Lake and Utah counties.
This is the first year Utah has had same-day voter registration, and in Salt Lake County, at least, about 9,000 of the 16,373 provisional ballots they have to count came from those same-day voters.
The bigger question is who will provisional ballots favor? There is a strong case to be made that they will favor McAdams.