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Home-court advantage matters less than you think

The Portland Trail Blazers will likely face off against the Utah Jazz in the 2019 NBA Playoffs in the 4/5-seed matchup. Other outcomes are possible, but this series is the most likely.

If that happens, the Blazers should have an advantage since they’ll get an extra game at the Rose Garden, right? Let’s take a look at the data to see if that’s true.

4/5 Playoff Matchups and 7-game series

I used basketball-reference.com to collect the outcome, head-to-head (H2H) results, total regular season wins, and playoff matchup results.