Today I wanted to look at and provide two data points that are very good at evaluating quarterback play. Expected Points Added looks at the situation of each play, and the value the outcome added to the likelihood of scoring.
Completion percent over expected (CPOE) is simply an over/under of quarterbacks completion rates, giving a sense of how they performed compared to expectations.
Here are how quarterbacks with a minimum of 275 dropbacks (33 qualifiers) fared in 2023:
With this visual, I darkened the dots for new Pittsburgh Steelers quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, along with former Steelers QB Kenny Pickett for comparison.