I wanted to continue learning about and providing data on new Pittsburgh Steelers offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. Following articles looking at his run schemes in Tennessee (2019-2020) and Atlanta (2021-2023), today’s goal is to look at expected points added (EPA) and success rates to get a gauge on the quality of results, including Pittsburgh’s numbers the last two seasons for comparison.
EPA is expected points before and after each qualifying rush, in other words how many points were expected in that situation versus how many were added in the result. Success rates are 40 percent or more of the needed yards on first down, 50 percent or more on second down, and a first down or touchdown on third and fourth down.