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Study: Advanced Rushing Metrics Paint Positive Pictures For Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren

Recently, I started exploring the Rush Percentage Over Expected (ROE%) stat for running backs that Next Gen Stats uses. As a result of that exploration, I thought I would look at that stat from the 2023 regular season, and particularly how Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren, and other NFL running backs stacked up in it in 2023 when added alongside explosive runs of 15 yards or longer percentages.

In case you need a quick explanation of the Rush Percentage Over Expected (ROE%) stat that NGS uses, it is the percentage of runs where a ball-carrier gained more yards than expected.