The Pittsburgh Steelers were awarded one compensatory draft pick in the fourth round for the 2021 NFL Draft, which they received for the free agency departure of Javon Hargrave, signing with the Philadelphia Eagles. This was a fine and expected compensation for the loss, but it was projected by many that the team might also receive a sixth-round compensatory pick as well. They were not. Why?
Arguably the outlet most often referenced for compensatory formula projections is Over the Cap, with Nick Korte being the formula expert there, so to speak. After the compensatory picks were released, he wrote something of a post-mortem about where he went wrong (for the record, he got 30 of the 32 players correct, and 28 out of the 32 with the correct round).