Pittsburgh Steelers OLB T.J. Watt officially tied the NFL single-season sack record in 2021, reaching 22.5 on the season. You can make a case that he should actually already hold the record, but that argument won’t get you anywhere. No, if he wants to break that record, he will have to hit at least 23 at some point.
Given his trajectory, though, Watt is a threat to break the record any time he plays, provided he is healthy. He led the NFL in sacks in each of the last three years in which he remained healthy, including 2023.