New York City FC has scored 23 goals in 14 games. That’s pretty good, but there are a few underlying numbers to suggest it might not be sustainable. Meanwhile, the Union have 32 goals in 18 games but might have a more explosive offense than you think.
NYC’s big producers — Brazilian striker Heber, Alexandru Mitrita, and Maxi Moralez — are all outperforming their expected goals this season. Meanwhile, Kacper Przybylko is producing shots and xG at an elite level but is stuck at five tallies on the season.
The winner of Saturday’s match, then, may come down to whether Przybylko and Heber continue to live on opposite sides of American Soccer Analysis’ xG model.