Projecting Yesterday’s Rule 5 Selections | FanGraphs Baseball
Goeddel’s had some trouble making contact in the past, but his combination of power and speed is intriguing. Hitters who both possess that skill set and have already succeeded in Double-A don’t grow on trees. He may not be quite ready for the show going by the numbers, but is close enough that he probably won’t embarrass himself. And at 23, there’s still room for him to improve.
Astros GM Jeff Luhnow defends drafting Mark Appel first overall after trade | For The Win
Basically, the history of the draft shows that at least 20% of the time, the guy picked first overall will do little to nothing to ever help his team win ballgames.