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What if more things go right than not?

Related Topics: PECOTA, Gabe Kapler

A lot is made every time Baseball Prospectus releases their PECOTA projections for the season. I know I personally look forward to it because of the sometimes eerie accuracy they display, but also because of the sometimes preposterous claims they make (remember when Matt Weiters was supposed to lay waste to baseball as a rookie? That was fun.) Any way you want to look at it, they’re a fun way to begin looking at how the team might perform in 2018 based on their respective histories.

This year’s PECOTA projections were especially fun to look at since this is one of the first times we see these sophisticated thinking machines and what they think about our dear prospects now that they’ve arrived at the big league level.