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According to Fangraphs’ 2020 projections, the Phillies have the sixth-lowest odds to make the playoffs this season. At 18.7 percent, they are well behind three other competitors in the NL East: the Atlanta Braves (56.4 percent), New York Mets (58.4 percent) and Washington Nationals (63.9 percent).
Fangraphs also projects the Phillies will win 79.6 games, good for a second-consecutive fourth-place finish in the division. It is not as conservative as Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projections, which has the Phillies winning 71 games with an 8.