PECOTA projects Phillies for 78 wins

Now that the Top-100 prospect lists are all out of the way, it’s the computers’ turn to take the MLB spotlight. I mean, no one is signing free agents so let’s let the computers have their day in the sun!

Baseball Prospectus’ computer projection system PECOTA is out with their annual numbers and they’re not quite ready to declare the Phillies wild card contenders just yet.

A 78-84 record would be a 12-game improvement over last year, which jives with the numbers I broke down in my latest Felske Files podcast, although PECOTA gets there through some different calculations.