The Phillies in 2025 do not look terribly different from last year’s edition, and some might even say the roster regressed a bit, and this probably isn’t the happiest their fans will have ever entered a spring training, and there are still reasons to be confident in the club’s outlook as an NL East favorite and World Series contender. Much of the baseball community is.
PECOTA is not.
The simulation model, which projects a range of win totals for each team and averages that range out to provide a specific wins estimate, has the Phillies as the third-winningest team in the NL East this upcoming season, obviously behind the Braves and Mets.