PECOTA projections at Baseball Prospectus are always to be celebrated. The amount of work that goes into creating them - the tweaking, the percentiles - all lead to give us a vast swath of outcomes for each of the players in the league. They’re usually pretty accurate and, along with ZiPS, provide us with a reasonable expectation for the different players on the team. This year’s version of PECOTA projections were released yesterday and while we would always recommend you subscribe to BP, we’ll make a few notes of what was interesting that we noticed.
*all stats given, unless noted, are the 50th percentile stats
The shortstop fight will be interesting
The shortstop competition, when it starts, is going to come down to Didi Gregorius and Bryson Stott.