According to virtually every publicly available projection model, Aaron Nola is projected to be the best starting pitcher in the Phillies rotation. Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system projects Nola to have the lowest WHIP (1.21) and lowest ERA (4.04) as well as the highest WARP (1.4). It should be noted that if the WARP figure looks a bit low, it’s because they only project Nola to throw 138 innings and the only conceivable way Nola’s season ends with just 138 innings pitched is if he suffers an injury. FanGraphs’ depth charts also projects Nola to have the highest WAR (2.
Don’t Overlook Aaron Nola
