Minor league projection is a tough science, one I try not to dabble in. For every player who, when looking at his stat line to declare him a “top prospect,” there are several prospect experts in the background wagging their finger and practicing their Lee Corso “NOT SO FAST!” impression. It’s why it is wiser to lean on those that are practiced at it to help us either buttress our opinions of a player or explain why our enthusiasm should be turned down a bit.
Every once in a while, I like to go back over old scouting reports of players that were once top prospects to see if they hit on said report.