Orlando City was the story of the MLS is Back Tournament, stunning the American soccer world with an exhilarating run to the tournament final. This was no Cinderella finding a fairy godmother, either–Orlando was very good for virtually the entire month and occasionally dominated more than credible opposition. Let’s take a closer look.
Expected goals tell the tale
One of my favorite metrics in soccer analysis is expected goals, or xG, which assigns a value between 0 and 1 to every shot based on how likely it is to be a goal. A penalty kick, for instance, goes in about 79% of the time, and so its xG value is 0.