With preseason practices starting for the Oklahoma Sooners, this seems like as good of a time as to put together a projected win total for the team this year.
I do this exercise every year. As a refresher, here’s how it works:
- Using my own set of power ratings, I set a point spread for every game on OU’s schedule.
- Based on the point spreads, I determine the likelihood the Sooners will win each game.
- I convert that likelihood to a fraction of a win.
- Lastly, I tally up the fractions of wins to estimate a projected total for the end of the season.