The Thunder is a fringe playoff team if it stays in tact, according to FiveThirtyEight projections.
OKC is projected to go 43-39 with a 49 percent chance of making the playoffs. That record would place the Thunder ninth in the Western Conference, according to FiveThirtyEight.
FiveThirtyEight, a statistical analysis site created by Nate Silver, bases its projections on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Each team's record is determined by individual player projections.
The system doesn't account for the probability that one or multiple of OKC's key players like Chris Paul, Steven Adams, Danilo Gallinari or Dennis Schroder could be traded during the season.