Purdue is kind of like the antimatter version of Minnesota.
Minnesota won its first three games before dropping its only games against Big Ten competition. Purdue lost its first three games by a combined eight points, with S&P+ post game win expectancies over 59 percent in all of them, but has won its last three games by at least two scores. Purdue has 4.5 second-order wins, meaning that even though the Boilermakers are 3-3, they’ve played more like a 5-1 or 4-2 team. (Post-game win expectancies take your most predictive advanced stats for a game, put them in a blender, and then tell you how often on average you’d be expected to win that particular game.