The Tar Heel men’s basketball team, in Coach Davis’ first year at the helm, has won 20 games with three games to spare in the regular season. Before settling in to try and create coherent points out of the noise in my head, I went back and looked at the records at the end of the regular season for each season stretching back to the 2003-2004 season, when Coach Williams came home. Partially out of idle curiosity, to see if there was any kind of pattern that could be identified, but also partially as an exercise in forecasting the future, to see if years past could lend any clarity to the cruelly shrouded future.