The North Carolina Tar Heels do not have a good chance to win Saturday night's ACC tournament championship game against Virginia, according to ESPN BPI.
ESPN's Basketball Power Index says the Cavaliers have a 69.8 percent chance to defeat the Tar Heels at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y.
It also predicts that Virginia will win the game by five points.
According to ESPN BPI: "Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections."