The the “Dance Card” formula was developed by Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida, Mike DuMond of Economists Incorporated, and Allen Lynch of Mercer University and is designed to predict which teams will receive at-large tournament bids from the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee.
This formula has correctly predicted 209 of 218 at-large bids over the last six years combined (96%).
According to the “Dance Card,” NC State is ranked #32 and has a 100% chance of getting a bid as of February 26th.
When you project this out, it looks like NC State would land the final 8 seed.