The NHL preseason is underway, and many teams have new faces. Last season saw astounding performances from quite a few players. A 69-goal performance from Auston Matthews, two players (Connor McDavid and Nikita Kucherov) reaching the 100-assist mark, 17 forwards hitting the 40-goal mark and five defensemen scoring at greater than a point-per-game pace. It is hardly bold to say we are unlikely to have a season like that in 2024-25.
Candidates for regression include those most likely to see a 10% drop in production (or more), be it goals or points, based on their situations according to my projections model.