NFL Offseason - Every year, we here at Football Outsiders do our best to accurately forecast the upcoming season. We run thousands of simulations taking into account major offseason personnel changes, players returning from injury, potential development from draft picks, continuity on the offensive line, and numerous other variables in an attempt to provide the best predictions out there.
In other words, we attempt to predict the future, and it turns out, that's quite hard. And 2022 proved harder than usual. In 2021, there was a .73 correlation between our projected DVOA and teams' actual DVOA, but that fell to .