The long offseason cements our last impression of teams, whether that is their final record last season, an upset in a bowl game, an elite recruiting class in February, or a flashy and well-attended spring game. But these individual factors have significantly less predicative power than returning production based on last season's performance, accumulated recruiting talent, or multi-year statistical indicators.
Which teams' F/+ projections differ the most from the general fan and media preseason consensus? Here we take a look at three teams who are forecasted lower than the conventional wisdom would suggest, and two teams that might outperform expectations.