Only five unbeaten teams remain after Baylor's loss to Oklahoma on Saturday, and while the playoff picture isn't completely clear yet, the number of teams that can confidently carve their own path to the playoff is dwindling. And more upsets may shake things up as well -- the top 15 teams according to the College Football Playoff committee's first rankings combined to lose five games to unranked opponents over the past two weeks.
According to our model, there is an 82 percent chance there will be two or fewer undefeated teams left standing for the playoff committee to consider in the end.