NFL Super Bowl - Last year, I presented a new set of way, way too early DVOA projections right after the Super Bowl. It's time to do it again for 2022!
Once again I remind readers not to get too excited: the goal here was to be incredibly simple. That being said, last year's way too early projections were closer to reality than you might expect. Eleven of this year's playoff teams finished in the top half of the way too early projections. The exceptions were New England, Philadelphia, and Cincinnati.
First, I adjusted 2021 DVOA ratings based on games where teams sat starters or had COVID issues or used backup quarterbacks.