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Why is hot stove season so cold, and what will happen when it heats up?

The calendar says January, but the list of remaining free agents looks a lot like it did when the MLB season ended in November. From a less-than-stellar crop of free agents to teams with an eye on next year's superstar class and a certain agent holding many of the cards this winter, there are plenty of reasons for a cold stove that has to heat up.

We asked ESPN.com writers Bradford Doolittle, Sam Miller and David Schoenfield to explain the slow pace of free agency and make predictions about what will happen when things finally get moving.

What is the biggest factor causing the slow pace of free agency this winter?