The Yankees have very much struggled in one-run games this season. According to Erik Boland, to be precise, the Yankees are 9-18 in one-run games. I’m going to tell you, despite what you’re seeing, that this is partially a factor of luck.
The Yankees have had spectacular luck in close games from 2013 to last season. The first piece of evidence is the obvious—that the Yankees have been incredibly bad in one-run games. That wasn’t necessarily the case in the past. Here are their winning percentages in one-run games from 2013 to 2016: .