Last week, Baseball Prospectus revealed their PECOTA projections for the 2022 season. Our own Esteban analyzed those projections from the Yankees perspective. He found many members of the Yankee lineup had pretty volatile forecasts, that PECOTA had put a wide range between their best, median, and worst outcomes. Somewhat unsurprisingly, it seems we should expect variance when it comes to the performances of some of the Bombers.
PECOTA isn’t the only public projection system, though. Today, inspired by the large variance Esteban saw just in digging through BP’s work, I wanted to see which players saw the most variance across their projections from different systems.