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The one mistake Yankees, Twins really can’t afford to make

They combined to win 204 games during the regular season, when each lineup raced past the former home run record and slugged their way to division crowns.

So when the ALDS opens with Game 1 on Friday night at Yankee Stadium between the Twins and Yankees, what will be the difference between advancing to the ALCS or going home?

Based on the amount of home runs — Minnesota hit 307 to the Yankees’ 306 — and what transpired at Target Field, where the Yankees took two of three in late July as the teams combined for 57 runs, many are predicting a home-run orgy and base runners looking like marbles unleashed in a bath tub.