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Baseball Prospectus PECOTA projections

Despite what Yankees Twitter seems to think most days,* the Yankees are really good. Like really, really good. We got some confirmation of this irrefutable fact with the yesterday.

Started in 2003 by Nate Silver, PECOTA is one of several projection systems that combine several factors to project how well teams will perform in an upcoming season. Here is what they project for the AL East:

The Yankees are projected for 97 wins and the AL East title. Interestingly, last year PECOTA projected the team for 99 wins so they are in the same range. PECOTA is clearly down on Tampa Bay after they lost Blake Snell and Charlie Morton this offseason which bodes well for the Yankees’ division chances.