FanGraphs | Ben Clemens: We’ve been tracking Aaron Judge’s homer pace compared to where some of the greatest single-season home run hitters were at various points late in the year, and with No. 55 yesterday, it’s looking all the more likely that the big guy breaks Roger Maris’ American League record of 61. Even the median FanGraphs Depth Charts projections had him reaching 62 prior to the start of play yesterday. So when might each of the milestone homers of 60-62 occur? Clemens took his best stab at it, using a few different factors and a million simulations.