As currently constituted, Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA projects the Mets to win 88 games this coming season, win the NL East by one game and play the Cubs in the NLDS.
PECOTA also projects the Mets to have the eighth-most productive offense in the National League, while allowing the second-fewest number of runs.
Last week, FanGraphs.com projected the Mets to win just 83 games, lose the NL East by seven games, and miss the Wild Card by one game...
I'm not saying the Mets are a lock to win 90, but 88 feels a lot more accurate than 83.