The NFL draft is the ultimate crapshoot. Whether you form your opinions based on the first two minutes of a JustBombsProductions highlight reel or after obsessing over every snap of a player’s career on the All-22 film, your odds of predicting a player’s future are pretty similar. Sorry, draftniks.
There are no secret formulas to the draft. If there were, we wouldn’t have seen Vernon Gholston or Zach Wilson drafted in the top six, and Patrick Mahomes would not have fallen out of the top 10. Every NFL front office works year-round to prepare for this event, yet most of them still mess it up year after year.