The Football Power Index gives the Oakland Raiders a 63 percent chance to beat the Houston Texans in Mexico City on Monday night. The Raiders will pit their fourth-ranked offense against the Texans' sixth-ranked defense in the marquee matchup, while the other side of the ball features two units ranked 27th heading into Week 11.
The central reason for the Raiders' strength on offense is of course the continued improvement of third-year quarterback Derek Carr, who ranked 11th in QBR entering Week 11. Most of the defenses Carr has faced this season have been above average, and he has continued to excel in those situations, posting a QBR of 80 against the third-ranked Ravens defense and 79 against the Buccaneers 13th-ranked defense.