As spring practice enters its home stretch, how is University of New Mexico football expected to perform this upcoming season?
There are more than a couple ways to predict. But one of them predicts: Not very well.
For instance, ESPN’s Bill Connelly has a metric called SP+, factoring in recent recruiting, returning production and recent history to try and project how a team will perform on a seasonal or week-to-week basis.
Initially developed in 2008 and refined since then, it’s a “predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football” with a clear-cut focus on efficiency.