The newest ESPN prediction model has the New England Patriots falling off a cliff in the AFC East in 2023.
When doling out FPI rankings, the Patriots came in at fourth place with merely an 8% chance of winning the AFC East division. The Miami Dolphins came in at third place with a 22% percent chance, while the New York Jets (25%) and Buffalo Bills (44%) were second and first, respectively.
These new odds are obviously banking on the Jets being significantly better with quarterback Aaron Rodgers getting more out of the burgeoning young talent than Zach Wilson, Mike White and Joe Flacco did last season.