We're now officially in the second half of the 2024 NFL season, and the playoff race is starting to take form. While the standings tell us a lot about teams' chances to reach the postseason, they don't tell us everything. Team strength, injuries, tiebreakers, future strength of schedule and more can shift those odds up or down and don't directly show up in the win (or loss) column.
ESPN analytics writer Seth Walder broke down all 32 teams into eight tiers of playoff hopes, ranging from clear Super Bowl contenders to those already looking ahead to 2025.