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Dividing the Patriots' season into 3 mediocre sections

The Patriots are the 15th ranked team by DVOA, dead last in defensive DVOA.

The Patriots are giving up 440 yards/game, most in the league by 30 yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have a 14:5 TD:INT ratio on a 66% completion ratio. They are on pace for 5,411 yards, which would be 3rd all-time, and more than Tom Brady has ever had in a season.

The Patriots are 1-2 at home.

The Patriots are 11th in the NFL in point differential at +13

They’re a team with a Pythagorean Theorem win expectancy of ~3.