When college football teams unexpectedly deliver seasons that deviate from their recent baselines, it is often difficult to project what comes next. A confluence of factors ranging from schedule strength to roster experience to turnover luck may propel a squad to a few Ws above what it typically registers in a given year, only for it to fall back to its typical win range the next year. In other cases, a team’s record bump in one season may be indicative of something more enduring: that it has gained a foothold on a higher rung of the food chain and is positioned to keep winning at a similar level for the foreseeable future.