Editor's Note: Welcome to Morning Madness, SI's daily newsletter during the NCAA tournament. We'll provide you with insight, analysis, picks and more from our college hoops experts around the country.
There once was a time, way back in the days before the start of the 2018 NCAA tournament, when it was reasonable to consider the outcomes of some games locks. Those were the games between No. 1 and No. 16 seeds, which had gone to the favorites each and every time since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985. Then last March UMBC toppled Virginia and the one thing that seemed sure this time of year was taken off the table of certainty.