Undefeated Clemson is the top seed, but the Tigers must fend off three one-loss contenders, a few of which might be better than the Tigers.
Here, we'll use the college football analytics at The Power Rank to break down matchups and assign a win probability to each team in the semifinal games. These numbers drove the playoff odds for Bleacher Report over the past two seasons.
These analytics also imply a probability for each team to win the College Football Playoff. I averaged this win probability with the implied odds from the market to make this visual:
The ensemble predictions heavily favor Alabama with a 46.