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Predicting NBA Success In Point Guards Using Draft Combine Stats

Building a statistical model to estimate how draft combine stats affect career PER in point guards, and predicting career PER in this year’s rookies.

As the season nears closer, the draft and draft combine have been long forgotten. However, the preseason is a great time for rookies and training camp invitees to shine. Lesser known rookies, such as second rounders and undrafted free agents, fight to prove they’re worth a roster spot in the upcoming season. How do we know which of these players is going to succeed and turn themselves into a solid NBA player?

It’s impossible to answer this question with complete certainty, but the following analysis is an attempt to solve this mystery.