A couple weeks ago, I wrote about the chances of each team winning the conference title and gave Air Force an 88% chance of winning the Commander in Chief cup, 80% of making the title game, 55% of winning the conference, and a 22% of making the NY6 bowl. Since then, they lost to then 2-6 Army and to then 3-7 Hawaii (as a 22-point favorite). With Statistics and Probability, the more data you have then more accurate decisions can be made. Currently, there are 5 teams who can make the conference title game and 5 teams who can still make a bowl game.