The win probabilities for UFC 239’s six qualifying matchups are in. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind Jones-Santos, Nunes-Holm, and Askren-Masvidal, see Friday’s piece.
Jon Jones (83.4%) over Thiago Santos
Amanda Nunes (78.8%) over Holly Holm
Luke Rockhold (71.3%) over Jan Blachowicz
Michael Chiesa (68.0%) over Diego Sanchez
Arnold Allen (58.9%) over Gilbert Melendez
Claudia Gadelha (60.8%) over Randa Markos
Current Bankroll: $10,629.