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UFC 232: Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson win probabilities and possible bets

The win probabilities for UFC 232’s five qualifying matchups are in. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind Jones-Gustafsson 2 and Cyborg-Nunes, see Tuesday’s piece.

Jon Jones (76.6%) over Alexander Gustafsson

Cris Cyborg (52.2%) over Amanda Nunes

Corey Anderson (51.5%) over Ilir Latifi

Carlos Condit (52.8%) over Michael Chiesa

Alexander Volkanovski (57.6%) over Chad Mendes

Current Bankroll: $9,728.