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UFC 223: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Al Iaquinta win probabilities and betting picks

The win probabilities for UFC 223’s nine – wait, make that five – qualifying matchups are in. Nine fights would’ve been the most fights with good data in a long time, until Conor McGregor felt the need to donate some of his Mayweather money to others less fortunate in the fight community. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind Namajunas-Jedrzejczyk and two other hypothetical fights we can only dream about now, see Tuesday’s piece.