Like most people, I picked Thiago Santos to beat Glover Teixeira. And not because I think Santos is an elite fighter. In MMA, it’s often hard to separate spectacular performances from spectacular standards. It’s easy to see what Santos did to Jon Jones and imagine a few extra breaks resulting in a win. It’s harder to see what Santos did to Jon Jones and imagine where it wouldn’t help against a different fighter. But recency bias and all. How much could Glover realistically have left in the tank? How well can he take a punch?